By Mark P. Dangelo
Innovative Relevance
http://www.mortgagebankers.org/tools/FullStory.aspx?ArticleId=28527#full
Four years after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, senior
banking officials are continually thrown under the bus as the new Robber Barons—just
as industry captains of old (e.g., Andrew Carnegie, John D. Rockefeller, and
Cornelius Vanderbilt). History is once
again repeating itself.
The formerly revered and sometimes feared names of Lewis
(BofA), Mozilo (CWF), and Cayne (Bear Stearns) have been ushered out with scorn
and replaced by new leaders seeking vision, directions, and regulators approval—and
a way out of billions in litigation, claw backs, and fervent attorney generals. Whichever side you take on the financial
collapse debate, constantly shifting politics within a presidential election
year continues to make it a very unpleasant time to be a banker, let alone a
financial institution with nervous investors. Perhaps by 2015, we can find that elusive “next
curve”.
Moving forward and with increased certainty, financial
institutions, driven by a new patchwork of thorny, disjointed global regulations
including mandated annual stress tests, are turning historically venerated institutions
into ordinary public utilities with commodity offerings. It is under the guise of safety, soundness,
and deep liquidity where hundreds of billions of investments will be spent on
new infrastructure (i.e., hardware, software, services, security, and networks),
policies, and processes to satisfy the next five to seven years of regulations. Reminiscent of the go-go mid-1980’s
investments, the war on profit and loss will be waged with diverse technologies
and data efficiencies—not lending and trading.
As a result of the games being played and the livelihoods
being lost, I for one am growing exceedingly tired of waiting for the next shoe
to drop and the pundits to finally get it right. How many housing recovery plans have come and
gone in the last 48 months from every constituency—the Administration, Congress,
the Federal Reserve, industry associations, and consumer groups? Whether some like it or not, it is past time
to get back to finance and banking business.
Dialogue doesn’t pay the bills—discretely focused and measurable actions
will. Let’s look at two key actions for
2012-2013.
Loan Origination System Excellence
In an extensive interview with industry mortgage veteran Keith
Kemph, Managing Partner, Shadow Point Consulting LLC, he highlights his 2012 strategy
and operational initiatives for profitable originators and their tightly-coupled
LOS needs.
Regarding the current state of the industry and an ability
to adapt, “One word that has become synonymous with the mortgage industry is
change. Whether it’s a) change for the
good, b) change for the worse, c) change that helps move the industry forward,
or d) the recent changes we’ve seen that move our industry ‘backward’, today to
survive the new mortgage millennium mortgage bankers must be more ‘agile’. Bottom line, a mortgage banker’s agility (or
lack thereof) will directly impact their bottom line (cost per loan / net
revenue per loan) and subsequent survival. Agility is required at both the philosophical
and IT infrastructure level.”
To support changing requirements and industry paradigms, Mr.
Kemph states, “Before we can address how the pending regulatory and compliance
changes will need to be supported by technology providers in 2012 and 2013, we
first need to look inwardly and be certain our ‘business philosophy’ has
successfully made the transition from the traditional mortgage banker thought
process of ‘that’s how we’ve always done
it’ to ‘what do we need to do?’ Once mortgage bankers have successfully
adopted this new philosophical framework for evaluating their business
processes, policies and procedures they will be in a better position to
articulate what exactly they need from a process or technology standpoint. Then the mortgage banker can then start asking
their respective technology providers and personnel to assist them
accordingly.”
When discussing existing operations and investments, “As it
stands today, a majority of mortgage bankers have already gone out and
purchased a new LOS at some point in the last three or four years. Still other tech savvy mortgage bankers have
successfully patched together a fairly efficient set of processes that deliver
compliance. Considering this and how
mortgage bankers will continue to operate on razor thin margins for the
foreseeable future, they will not be able to afford an initiative of uprooting
their existing technology and starting from scratch in order to meet changing
regulatory requirements. Furthermore, mortgage
bankers are keenly aware that while each vendor offers various bells and
whistles, after all the hard work, time, money, and effort the mortgage banker
still holds the bag. Loosely translated
this means that the mortgage banker still assumes 100% responsibility for their
‘loan decision’ on each and every loan regardless if the technology provider is
compliant, or not. As a result, it’s no
wonder mortgage bankers are carefully evaluating risks versus costs when making
decisions surrounding technology investments.”
Mr. Kemph emphasizes, moving into the definition of and deployment
for business and consumer mandates, that “There will be growing demands within
the industry for LOS providers to offer more cost effective access for clients
to self manage their own LOS environments and platforms. This will require technology providers to
become more organized and efficient in managing professional services, while
delivering technology in an agile architectural envelope which is both client
and vendor integration friendly. Otherwise,
outsourced professional services, consulting firms, and 3rd party
vendor software services will see THE increased demand, as they help
organizations deliver maximum productivity and revenue using compliance as the
wrapper. It’s my opinion that either by sheer
luck or a true strategic approach, firms and partnerships similar to Optimal
Blue, Secondary Interactive and Motivity Solutions, are fine examples of
organizations that may be ahead of the curve in this regard.“
So what should be done to guarantee investment returns? Mr. Kemph concludes, “While technology
providers have historically played an important and significant role in helping
mortgage bankers to operate more efficiently, for the next two years they are
going to need to align themselves with vendor partners. They must seek out best-in-class customer
service and low cost and high efficiency firms, who also provide easy access to
framework architectures at a reduced cost surrounding platform management. Five years ago, the CEO of a leading mortgage
technology service provider privately stated, ‘It’s ok for our clients to put
pressure on us and dictate what they need – the pressure to reinvent ourselves
is a good thing for the industry.’”
As Mr. Kemph touched on above, the demand for technology to
business process integration will become a cornerstone and key competency of
any future banking strategy—that is they must be proactively linked to promote
the best fit at the least cost.
Transforming Business Process Management (BPM)
In transforming organizations using BPM, Pedro Fong,
Managing Principal, Innovative Relevance® directs his expertise against the
extensive adjustments and development of business processes needed to
efficiently orchetrates technology investments, data reuse, and operational
integrations.
For Mr. Fong, the remedies of prescriptive solutions are not
a panacea due to the complexity of legacy environments. “Constant change seems to be the ‘new normal’
in our post mortgage meltdown economy.
Yet, exactly what does that mean for BPM folks? This new equilibrium can refer to a variety
of new business processes that have to be either reengineered or created from
scratch for a business to profitably operate.
If you are lucky your business partners should have standard business
processes that were documented and instantiated within the organization well
before your arrival—or not. Either way
businesses are going to need BPM expertise that can step up and help
organizations navigate through the different methods and techniques available
today to achieve their business needs.
Unfortunately the answer of whether to BPM or not is ‘it depends’. Moreover, BPM is not going to be a ‘silver
bullet’, but it can be a way for an organization to capture its thought
leadership and map out a strategy. This
is an approach that can be communicated out on what the new normal means to the
organization and how it’s going to impact its operations and profitability.”
By selecting the right instrument for the task at hand, “Everyone
understands that simply deciding that you are going to ‘do’ BPM and purchasing
a tool, does not mean that your BPM approach will help you achieve your
business goals. BPM at its core is
really a way for IT and the business partners to communicate through the use of
a ‘process tool’ or common language that will help their organizations become
better aligned to achieve their goals.
Once aligned, IT and the business can focus on the people, process, and
technology changes required. The
implementation of any new business process (will be read by the organization as
‘change’) whether it’s a small tweak, a process redesign, or the creation
processes to support a new business; they all have to be approached
methodically.”
If organizations reuse the same tactics and principles of
operation, they will fail. So what
should be done? “The ‘new normal’ is
challenging the FSI in ways that cannot be addressed with the same old
approaches and tools that banks have used in the past. The banks that choose to dust off their old
approaches to meet these new challenges will at best continue to struggle or
worse fall by the wayside. The new
normal requires FSI organizations to look at everything and rethink how they
will meet the challenges (e.g., new regulations, risk management, increase
profitability, consumer perception, and ever changing technologies) that are
being thrown at them at a high rate of speed and still run the bank as a for-profit-business. Changes will continue to be lobbed at FSI for
the foreseeable future and banks will not have the luxury of implementing them
at the same slow and steady pace that they have been operating in the past—as
new regulations now number in the dozens per week.”
By internalizing nimble, compartmentalized building block business
processes, “Only the process savvy, agile organizations will be able to keep
pace with changes as they sweep across their FMBO’s (i.e., front, middle and
back office). These organizations will
not only know their business but they will know how all the processes are
wired, what processes are shared across business units, the data that is being
passed through each point in the process, how that data is used, how fresh or
accurate the data is—where else should they be leveraging that data to support
other business processes? Banks will
need expertise to identify how to interconnect their current vertical stove
pipe business units to create a more efficient and profitable
organization. Understanding how to
maximize existing business processes is going to be a key starting point for
all of the banks. Nonetheless,
understanding how to successfully implement those new business processes will
determine which ones will be the leaders and which will just be running with
the pack—or not at all.”
* * * * * * * *
The need for solid directions cannot be underestimated for
this coming year. With a projected
recession for the second half of 2012 spurred by EU crisis after crisis, and underpinned
by the realization of why a $1 trillion IMF fund is needed to deal with lending
demands, it is clear that business as usual or a return to normal is a
mirage. The deployment of new structured
products (e.g., US covered bonds, non-GSE MBS’s) and robust secondary markets
(for liquidity, risks and pricing transparency) are also a critical aspect that
many domestic corporations have yet to appreciate, let alone create plans for
implementation.
Moreover with foreclosures now projected to be greater than
1.5 million in addition to the hidden REO stealth inventories for 2012, the
downward pricing on housing even without the prospect of rising energy
pressures (e.g., gasoline > $5 gallon) will not allow the market to find a
new equilibrium. With consumers once
again diving into savings to support the recovery, the market’s ability to
reach origination and refinancing volumes equal to just two short years ago may
take another five or seven years to reach.
The need to get back to business has never been greater. Very little of the past is a guide for the
future as the forecasts continue to be wrong.
To deal with the vast uncertainty of consumers, markets, and
politicians, technology and data must be the cornerstones for critical
transformational actions. Taking care of
business has to start with LOS excellence, BPM, and the downstream needs that
are tightly-coupled with every new, non-government backed structured
product. The realization of lead,
follow, or get out-of-the-way has never had great resonance.