Alliances – Confront Today for Success Tomorrow

October 18th, 2010

By Mark P. Dangelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

Increasingly, alliances and their dependent relationships are a critical component within our business and technology go-to-market offerings.  Alliances range from simple forms of operational provisioning (e.g., vendors, sales forces, expense management) to strategic relationships between firms (e.g., sharing of revenue, joint ventures, market collaboration) – and permutations of “everything in between”.  For some, alliances represent a new form of currency to expand capabilities, while improving margins.

Furthermore, regardless of organizational size, alliances are necessary modules in our delivery to customers (i.e., B2B, B2C, and P2P), and even as an element in influencing industry regulations and risk mitigation (e.g., associations).  Our organizational operations passively and actively use alliance relationships in both formalized and ad-hoc structures –beyond a logo on a web page or a press release advocating a spirit of cooperation. 

Today’s alliances are foundational building blocks used to connect highly-fragmented markets with bespoken offerings hemmed in by global economic and currency uncertainty (i.e., “Why hire when we can source to outside experts?”).

Yet, for all their potential, the on-going tit-for-tat saga being played out between Oracle and HP, exposes the deep seated vulnerabilities of traditional alliances and the approaches used to transform and govern them.  Whereas, most finance and mortgage group (FMG) operations are not as complex or interconnected as these billion dollar technology giants, their alliance deterioration demonstrates the downside consequences of assuming these relationships are risk-free. 

To discover alliance lessons learned, we need to pose five key questions:

·         What are the formal or informal alliance goals, objectives, and expected contributions? 

·         Beyond the legal documents, what does the alliance comprise – end-to-end? 

·         What is the impact – quantitatively and qualitatively — when they are non-performing? 

·         How have they changed from their inception and are they still relevant (i.e., how are they measured against today’s benchmarks)? 

·         What happens with the alliances, relationships, and businesses, which were built upon compromise, that end in bitter divorce?

As a financier and serial entrepreneur recently stated, “Today’s uncertainty and operating demands have put increased pressure on organizations to produce results regardless of the relationship consequences.  The result appears to be manifesting itself in unprofessional behavior, broken promises, and every man for themselves.  In general, old alliances are fast becoming inconvenient with a ‘buyer-beware’ position.” 

Indeed, it may be a good time to apply lessons learned to our own business and technology alliances – before they end up on the front pages or worse yet, in a court of law.  Let’s examine just a few of the unfolding challenges confronting today’s alliance initiatives.

Lesson #1: T-Squared (Timing and Trustworthiness)

 

For many, this is the most important aspect of their alliances.  Timing is not only important for payments, identifications, turnarounds, and resolutions; it demonstrates cross-organizational commitment and longevity.  Yet, the time required to reach an alliance (while simultaneously conducting joint pursuits) should not be left to chance.  Timing has become a known area where large firms negatively “string out” smaller ones.

 

Trustworthiness envelopes inter-organization actions, and once breeched, it will unravel the best alliance program.  In the publicized Oracle and HP alliance disconnects, both sides are now providing “evidence” and “allegations” that the other is behaving irrationally, and as a result, should not be trusted.  More commonly, during negotiations, organizations make-or-break the program by their actions – such as delaying contract T’s & C to avoid payouts.  An award for the poorest behavior is given to a large software firm that unilaterally substituted contracts in the middle of negotiations – after clients were introduced into the alliance program.

Lesson #2: DAR (Duration, Action, Reward)

 

A professional alliance should never be open ended.  Forced reevaluation on an annual basis is the norm subject to adherence to preset terms and conditions.  Businesses change – so does the need or desire for alliances.

 

Actions and interlinked responsibility / accountability should be clearly delineated encompassing priorities and budgets.  Most alliances stress the separation of IC, ownership, and competition, but few include Addendums detailing how any results are to be identified or achieved – tied to stated and agreed upon alliance goals, objectives, rationale, and implications.

 

Rewards or payments cannot be, “… at the sole discretion of the company” as some firms would advocate in the fine print.  Accounting for results is often more involved than an introduction, a referral, or part of a pursuit team.  The percentage, method, and duration of payments are always subject to negotiations and are seldom presented at face value.

Lesson #3: MCP (Measurement, Commitment, Performance)

 

To be rewarded, alliance programs need to have adaptive, measurement processes to ensure on-going relevancy.  Moreover, how profitability is calculated and expenses allocated are sometimes problematic. 

 

Whereas, alliance programs place a burden on the firm joining the plan, what commitment does the alliance provider guarantee should they fail to live up to obligatory performance?  Many programs are silent on this effort, but failure to deliver is a leading cause for reputational damages and early termination.  What about conflicts-of-interest?

 

So, how is performance measured?  Who owns the contacts and market?  If the alliance program is successful (in the eyes of both parties), what constitutes success?  It is more than payment terms. 

Lesson #4: PH (People and Herding)

 

As we know, alliances are often used to formalize a growing business relationship.  Frequently, when a key person leaves or is moved, the alliance suffers or fails altogether.  So ask yourself, is it a business alliance or a personal alliance?  The feasibility of alliances often begin with understanding this dynamic and the competitive forces in play.

 

Some organizations, especially when new products are announced, rush into the markets to sign everyone to an alliance program in an effort to gain breadth and scale – they herd as many as they can into promoting their offering.  Recently, we have witnessed increased alliances in services – outsourcing, consulting, and system integrators – as organizations want access to larger books-of-business, while they avoid hiring FTE’s and gain access to local markets.  Problems arise for smaller firms partnering with larger ones as these arrangements quickly become one-sided and commoditized – not to mention competitively dysfunctional.

Lesson #5: ICE (Issues, Challenges, and Expectations)

 

To ensure viability, any alliance must have predefined mechanisms to deal with issues or challenges to the intent.  Working relationships will generate frictions, and before they surface, agreed upon workout processes must be created and tested.  Without a process to escalate, your only choices are reaching out to the senior executives or hiring legal representation.

 

Expectation management is continually present in any alliance.  Is the partner holding up their promises?  Does the alliance hold hidden costs and risks that were masked?  How come the arrangement is not benefiting my organization sooner?  Dialogue channels and formalized communication must be explicitly identified in every alliance.  Too often, especially if executed with passive-aggressive cultures, communications and expectation fall into a chasm resulting in eventual alliance failure.

Lesson #6: SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats)

 

SWOT is a common business approach for the initial definition of an alliance agreement.  However, the initial assessments are seldom revisited to ensure accuracy.  With the alliance underway, putting stated goals, objectives, and measurements into defined dashboards provides an “at a glance” assessment of progress and value.  Additionally, the results may lead to periodic appraisals of assumptions, risks, and issues forcing a revaluation of SWOT and the value of the alliance to the organization.

Lesson #7: BUIHTD (“Breaking Up Is Hard to Do”)

 

Even the best relationships can experience separation and some even end in divorce – at a minimum, the Oracle and HP arrangement is apparently heading for a separation.  Events, reorganizations, mergers, acquisitions, divestures (MAD) and even buy-outs can significantly alter once prosperous alliances.  Alliances, just like those forged in reality TV, are constantly shifting and breaking.  Forward-thinking preparation can mitigate many of the problems associated with BUIHTD.

 

Remember, alliance contracts should not resemble employment contracts – this is a surprise to many large software firms.  The breakup should not impact the ability to compete or forge new alliances — unless something is provided in return.

 

* * * * * * * *

There is a marked difference in alliances executed during periods of economic expansion versus contraction.  The changes for economic rebalancing, which precipitated the start of new alliances, have just begun – currencies, trade, policies, quantitative easing, MAD, protectionism, and regulatory taxes and controls.  Therefore, the traditional beliefs behind alliances must be continually called into question.  Alliances, and the proposed value brought to the organization, must be rethought.

Confronting alliance dogma represents a key component in creating and sustaining new business, while forging lasting relationships that mutually benefit both parties.  How effective are your alliances when you map them to the future of your business – and customer needs?

 

Anticipating Market Trends and Their Implications

September 20th, 2010

By Mark P. Dangelo

Innovative Relevance®

There is still much to be gloomy about across many segments within the U.S.A. — economy, housing, and finance to name just a few.  It appears as though many of the ill-conceived ideas and financial innovations that propelled a decade of prosperity are now contributing to high levels of sustained unemployment, regulatory burdens, and historic deficits. 

Looking forward, the next 15 months will still hold a vast amount of uncertainty and risk along with a substantial amount of political theatre.  Yet, does that mean we do nothing or very little to prepare for the market events and consumer dynamics unfolding all around us?  Is the new BAU really a retro BAU as some have projected?

Positively, indications from dozens of industry leaders point to converging themes and series of actions – although the transparency of these trends still has not been fully revealed.  However, as clarity is achieved, nearly every organization can benefit from these solidifying trends during the remainder of 2010 and into 2011. 

Yet, the evolving trends require the selective integration of financial processes across the spectrum of origination, servicing, and capital markets.  No single idea or pure-play event is on the horizon to ensure that market intricacy is wrapped up in a plug-and-play offering or one-stop vendor solution.  Such a rudimentary belief system is what materially contributed to misinterpreting systemic risks and creating unsustainable mortgage and finance models.

But trends are funny things and their advantages often multi-faceted.  Let us examine just three of the most interesting and misunderstood.

Economic Reality

For an industry, now at one-third its 2007 size, is there life after a three year gutting of businesses and skills?  Have we reached the bottom and market capitulation?  Can technology be of any use, in a market that will be stagnant for the next 3 to 5 years, beyond efficiencies or traditional process improvements?

First, and to be very blunt, economic theory and those who practice it have demonstrated that their models, forecasts, and suppositions are not good predictors of future reality and the complexity of today’s financial markets.  Moving forward, the discipline and rigor of economics will be called into question, resulting in organizations increasing their own business intelligence capabilities in an effort to control and predict future outcomes, risks, and liabilities.  As some economists have indicated, economic disciplines need to undergo a rigorous self-examination if they are to regain public trust.

This void of confidence has spawned an unintended consequence.  It has created a demand for internally vetted intelligence and predictive technology across several primary data taxonomies – consumer channels and behaviors, regulatory compliance, and (bespoke) markets directly linked to dependent products.  Analytics will tie many of the interrelated entities and elements together via multi-dimensional or layered dashboards. 

Since data volumes are doubling every 18 months across the enterprise, and supported by increased access to sophisticated mining tools, it is easy to understand why budgets surrounding the need for intelligence needs are projected to grow at over 25% per year. 

The provisioning needed to support these management defined requirements is also changing.  Considering a backdrop of nearly 10% unemployment now projected until 2012, while facing a hostile consumer base, offshore outsourcing for these knowledge process areas may have reached its peak.   The mix of how to deliver intelligence (e.g., operational, competitive, consumer, financial, regulatory, risks, et al) to the organization has likely been permanently altered to concentrate on inward confidence.

Capital Markets

Capital markets are being reformed to deliver sustainable ABS products spurred on by pending SEC revisions, EC Article 122a, Basel III, and the clearing of derivatives with the Dodd-Frank regulations. 

The need for resurgence of the private ABS market, standing at just over 40% or $350 billion of their 2007, size is clear.  Without liquid and transparent private capital markets, lending cannot be sustained simply by increasing deposit base or via government guarantees.  In addition, the demand and importance of straight-through processing (leading directly into the capital instruments themselves) with rigorous data integrity and standards cannot be underestimated. 

Originators who design their loan processing and vetting from the start with private capital markets as the recipient, will benefit with improved basis point margins, reduced risks, and ensured regulatory compliance (e.g., as proposed for updated EDGAR filings surrounding REG AB revisions). 

Why is this important now?  Just ask RBS with their issuance of $4.7 billion in MBS’s last week, or banks across the globe, as they rapidly staff for an anticipated rebirth of the private ABS and MBS markets. 

Yes, the first iteration of securitization is dead – killed by easy money, lax lending, speculation, and complex, derivative injected, layered securities.  A second iteration has already begun for private ABS as demonstrated by the new market leaders like J.P. Morgan. 

This trend will accelerate in 2011 spurred on by pending dispositions of the GSE’s.  Without a functioning private securitization market, the workouts for the struggling GSE’s will never be politically achieved – nor financially sustainable.

Security

As noted by Maslow back in 1943, security and safety is principal to acceptable human behavior.  This need is transferable into the demand by customers and consumers to be confident, absolutely confident, that the most private information, scores, ratings, and profiles are 100% secure. 

Whereas data storage protection has increased markedly over the last three years, it is the vulnerability of the networks that is gaining increased importance and scrutiny.  Examples of this include HP’s recent acquisition of ArcSight and Intel’s acquisition of McAfee – all at very significant premiums to market valuations. 

This increased focus on the network and accessibility has been a direct result of mobile proliferation and sophistication of devices (e.g., iPad, BlackBerry, tablet computers).  This changing technology-induced behavior has resulted in a complex layering of network points of entry and protections not just for consumer applications, but for enterprise offerings which start at the consumer and touching brokers, agents, loan officers, appraisers, vendors, servicers, and loss mitigation specialists. 

To back up this trend is a one-third increase in budgets projected for FSI organizations specifically targeting network and mobile security over the next year alone.  Factor in regulatory and compliance demands for data – from its originating source to its eventual disposal – and the budgetary impacts are even greater. 

Analogous to the securitization markets being reset (i.e., waiting for “Securitization 2.0”), security is about to take a series of new twists and turns that will govern the next decade of IT skills, business offerings, and consumer protection. 

* * * * * * * * * *

What is very clear is the dichotomy of beliefs and value systems that still must be reconciled in the face of polarized consumers and regulatory vigor.  Stated another way, each market participant believes that the “new normal” will be similar to their accepted models of operation. 

Still, trends frequently mutate as a result of market results and consumer behavior, while spinning a story – or a nightmare – regardless of principles and theories put in place to anticipate them or explain them away. 

As noted recently in the Financial Times, the demand for housing by the consumer actually peaked six years before the market correction regarding ownership rates and housing prices.  Yet, transactional technology focused on a need for greater scale and throughput dominated the industry and their back-office operations. 

It is not atypical for market actions to be out-of-phase against the trends.  Frequently trends were left unnoticed or discarded due to the fact they did not meet the expectations of those who needed to listen. 

It is human nature to dismiss contradictory data when it is outside our traditional models.  It is easy to dismiss ideas with foreign words or rebuke the trends as irrelevant because they appear foreign – beyond traditional understanding.  Retrospectively, hasn’t that already been tried, and failed?

Regardless of beliefs – change will happen and retro Luddites will fail.  So, who will be listening or adapting to market, consumer, and financial trends?  Who will fail to recognize the signals too late – when the end is near?  Who will heed the calls and profit from change? 

The Changing Faces of Mobility and the Internet

August 16th, 2010

By Mark P. Dangelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

Mobile computing, and in particular mobile banking, has moved beyond the traditional laptop.  The idea of mobile “wallet share” is no longer just about micro transactions tied to mobile money (e.g., Clear2Pay, PingPing, Square, Bump) , but a complete experience that reduces consumer churn, while increasing financial product cross-selling and up-selling.  Reinforcing a need to uniquely engage a consumer, Adobe states that 1 in 7 FSI consumers change banks every year — yet “loyal” consumers purchase 40% more products and services.

Following market trends, the utilization of mobile technology by bankers and servicers seeking to reach consumers will continue to prove instrumental.  These trends are not just for workouts and delinquencies, but for attracting those homeowners that possess outstanding credit.  For agents and officers, advanced mobile apps will provide not only GPS paths, but criteria to navigate listings, find loan specialists, populate documents, and even perform virtual tours all securely and neatly fitting within ones palm. 

Mobile advancements today draw parallels to the technology evolution of personal computing which began 27 years ago.  This next decade will provide a unique opportunity to take advantage of changing behaviors and homeowner capabilities.  Let’s look at just three of the trends that are already impacting the wide spectrum of mortgage capabilities in a growing mobile world:

·         Private Clouds and Net Neutrality

·         Smart Devices

·         Privacy, Security, and Countermeasures

Private Clouds and Net Neutrality

It was just six years ago, the standards, domain names, and most of the network infrastructures were dominated by American firms.  The debate over net neutrality was a frequent topic of media attention.  However, as information quickly grew and offshore revenues expanded (along with international investors), the influence of a single nation to dictate a common vision began to wane. 

Today with the rapid expansion of cloud computing and their co-dependent networks, there are now private clouds being developed each with specific capabilities and business intent.  Examples of this includes, interconnected private-label trading networks, hardened FSI mobile computing for smart phones, and even architectures of mortgage clouds uniquely designed for consumers or investors. 

As specialization is being deployed across hardware, software, and networks, we are also witnessing challenges at a country level, which threatens to fragment the idea of the Internet into very specific country solutions.  The recent challenges and banning of BlackBerry communications is likely just the beginning of the potential objections forthcoming – they were a red herring for greater segregation. 

Even countries that rely on the Internet for national commerce (e.g., India) risk having their “agency” demands cascading into a fragmentation of the very innovation that allowed them to flourish.  Underneath the surface of the Google and Verizon net neutrality proposal recently introduced, we can clearly see the historic divisions rising up to create multiple nets – each with specialization, costs, and all distinguishing fixed from mobile.  The FCC’s future directions will influence the U.S. – but it speaks for a smaller and smaller slice of the mobile world.

In general, the ability of one network or Internet to fit the growing individualization of service and product offerings has likely reached its zenith (existing only in a “super highway” form).  Mobile will be segmented from fixed line and treated differently – it already is.  Bespoke networks of networks over the next 4 to 6 years will develop into the new norm as mobile devices become more powerful and increasingly secure — each tailored to a consumer profile, channel, or behavioral type. 

Smart Devices

Introduced early last decade, the term smart-phone has increasingly become a misnomer.  For all practical purposes, it refers to a growing class of sophisticated mobile computers (SMC’s) connected via robust 3G and 4G public networks that just so happen to have their origins in voice. 

For those vendors in the mortgage markets, these devices are forcing a rethinking of how and where to engage the consumer.  Now with hundreds of thousands of apps written for smart devices available, the certification of conformance to operate on a secure, private cloud will force a reexamination of device level protections. 

Examples of this will include, unique carve outs of memory protected by chipsets specifically dedicated to financial operations using ideas ported from “dark-op” efforts.  Furthermore, 2011 promises the introduction of several of these solutions embedded within commercially available software and hardware – PC and laptop chipsets starting in 2012.  Look for these solutions in FSI first.

With 20% of the U.S. population possessing smart devices, the ability to reach and retain these homeowners represents a chance to uniquely serve an educated and loyal consumer base.  When applied to reaching consumers about their loans or accounts, the SMC will be one of the items least likely to be parted with giving a unique opportunity to engage those needing assistance – especially with built in GPS. 

SMC applications will not be simply ported – but designed exclusively for these operating environments including, LOS’s, customer service, fraud solutions, validation (authentication, identification, and non-repudiation), and compliance. 

Privacy, Security, and Countermeasures

The poster firm for privacy concerns has globally become Google – as information contained within their vast databases raises alarms among opponents and especially from country regulators.

There are those of Orwellian convictions who believe Google has assembled digital dossiers on every person’s on-line actions – across the entire world spanning 2.5 billion individuals.  You can image the horror for homeowners or those seeking to repair credit, when it is learned they might have frequented sites about bankruptcy, defaulting on an upside-down loan, or even how to do a short-sale.

While many will rightly point out that secure mobile communications has to meet standards of performance and non-repudiation, the gaps of security (between a landline and wireless connection) are being closed.  In fact, a great deal of security innovations are now being targeted singularly towards the mobile consumer and mobile banking / FSI in particular.

Firms such as Tigers Lair are introducing solutions that deal not only with counter measure capabilities (even when a device is powered off rendering the unit cleansed), but also security across the entire spectrum of mobile operations.  Deploying a holistic approach, these next generation firms may be providing the mobile foundation not just for common retail banking, but for mobile BPO, compliance and assurance, and even as the primary system of record. 

* * * * * * *

Mobility has become part of the social mores for consumers.  As the consumer base increasingly values their SMC’s (just try and take an iPhone away from their user), the highly customizable devices provide the identity for many under the age of 45.  After a decade of experimentation, the building blocks are coming into place (e.g., see the latest announcements from Alcatel-Lucent).

The end result may be that to effectively select and manage viable homeowners in a post-crisis world, mobile holds one of the foundation stones needed for profitability and risk management.  However, what is certain is that it won’t be as many are envisioning – a singular homogeneous device or network that provides everything. 

Finally, with states looking to fill budget gaps, look for new taxes and surcharges on mobile and select applications.  I wonder, what new regulations will be proposed and how will they all be managed?  That is a battle for a future Congress.